• eacapesamsara@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    8
    arrow-down
    16
    ·
    3 months ago

    You have just proven my point, it’s not a thing that happens in reality if it were you’d point to actual data, not randomly generated test cases where the hypothesis works assuming everyone has to vote and is going to vote.

    To your second point, they not trying to win voters, Dems have never attempted to court anyone left of Reagan voters, ever. The point is demoralization. Non voters are better than energized voters that will never vote for you; the latter group protests, riots, threatens your monopoly on power.

    • Olgratin_Magmatoe@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      arrow-down
      5
      ·
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      it’s not a thing that happens in reality if it were you’d point to actual data

      I already explained why this is a terrible goalpost. But even under this terrible goalpost you’re still not correct.

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spoiler_effect

      See the section under “Notable unintentional spoilers”

      Additionally the 2000 election:

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ralph_Nader_2000_presidential_campaign

      not randomly generated test cases where the hypothesis works assuming everyone has to vote and is going to vote.

      That’s already accounted for. The gray dots are non voters. Including non voters doesn’t actually change the math, because the math is the overlap of circles. It is already only accounting for the subset of people who are voters.