Last year, less than half of Democrats polled, 46%, said they want a third party. But that number increased seven percentage points this year, to 53%.
Well of course. The national level Dem party is having to shift pretty rightward to ensure a win due to things like the GOP advantage in the Electoral College and such.
Doesn’t mean that they’d take the risk this year (and risk things going to the GOP under a FPTP system). But once the threat to democracy has past. I can easily see a hypothetical future where the GOP basically collapses into irrelevancy (like the Whig party did), while the Dem coalition split up into three parties - the far-left Dems, the progressive Dems, and never-Trumper former Republicans.
it appears that Democrats aren’t as happy with their candidate as Republicans are with theirs
But this is almost certainly leaving out all the Liz Cheney-like minded folks who are supporting Harris. If we counted these, I imagine we have more former GOP defectors to Harris than we do potential Dem defactors to third parties.
Well of course. The national level Dem party is having to shift pretty rightward to ensure a win due to things like the GOP advantage in the Electoral College and such.
Doesn’t mean that they’d take the risk this year (and risk things going to the GOP under a FPTP system). But once the threat to democracy has past. I can easily see a hypothetical future where the GOP basically collapses into irrelevancy (like the Whig party did), while the Dem coalition split up into three parties - the far-left Dems, the progressive Dems, and never-Trumper former Republicans.
But this is almost certainly leaving out all the Liz Cheney-like minded folks who are supporting Harris. If we counted these, I imagine we have more former GOP defectors to Harris than we do potential Dem defactors to third parties.
Fair points.