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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22947751
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[Bias alert - #NYT usually favors Israel]
The only reason there’s a ceasefire is because the IDF was losing. Any other reasoning is pure spin.
They want to move the Lebanese army to the south to “enforce” the ceasefire. I think they’re trying to pit Hezbollah and the Lebanese army against each other in the hopes of starting a civil war.
Pure speculation on my part however, so take with a grain of salt.
Honestly, I thought it was so Isntreal could try to get Lebanese to return from where they’d evacuated so that the IOF can start bombing civilians in a few weeks when they decide Lebanon is a threat again (based on the ceasefire language mentioned in a CBS article)
“Echoing remarks from earlier from Netanyahu, Mr. Biden said if Hezbollah or anyone else breaks the deal and poses a direct threat to Israel, then Israel retains the right to self-defense.”
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-hezbollah-ceasefire-netanyahu-war-lebanon-gaza-hamas/
It’s difficult to imagine a “Hezbollah ceasefire” without Hezbollah agreeing to it, and it’s difficult to look at the terms of this “deal” as presented here and in BBC as anything but surrender enforced by the complete colonial submission of the Lebanese state to the empire. I can’t imagine what Hezbollah must be going through watching the occupation pursue a campaign of assassination, murder, and terrorism against the people of Lebanon with international impunity while their government (at best) rolls over and lets it happen. I’m in no position to judge them specifically, no matter what they decide.
That said, I can only hope there’s some context being omitted. The list of states appearing to praise or agreeing to enforce this “deal” that appears to completely take Hezbollah out of the fight while allowing the occupation to resume attacks at will against Lebanon (which it will obviously do at the earliest opportunity), and continue its campaign of extermination seems like a widespread international abandonment of the Palestinian people.
I read a quote from a settler in a BBC article yesterday that just made it so undeniable to me: the moment they have the opportunity, the occupation army is going to walk right into southern Lebanon unopposed and say “this is ours now”. The Lebanese government couldn’t deny them if they wanted, because every foreign military enforcing this “deal” will welcome them across the border with open arms and watch as the locals are ordered to evacuate north or be exterminated like Gaza.
Rona Valency, evacuated from kibbutz Kfar Giladi on 8 October last year, told me she wanted to go home, and that a ceasefire was needed, but that the idea of Lebanese residents returning to these villages gave her “a real sense of unease and fright”.
…
“Apart from completely erasing these villages, and having no people there, there is no real physical thing that can make me feel safe.”
The ceasefire does not include Hezbollah, so at best is an attempt to get the Lebanese army on the side of Israel.
My take as well. The Lebanese army hugs the border, attacks Hezbollah when they violate the ceasefire while giving a free pass for whatever Israel wants.
Any confirmation from Hezbollah about it? Or was it a cease-fire with the Lebanese military and the media is claiming it was with Hezbollah?
Al Jazeera said Lebanon not Hezbollah, I’ll have to open the nyt article later