If that’s the game they’re playing it’s obviously a very dangerous one as it’s likely that NATO and EU schemes will start to unravel as European economies collapse. There are a lot of latent antagonisms in Europe such as those between Poland and Germany, and as the pie starts shrinking we’ll see tensions and recriminations escalate. We’re already seeing right wing nationalist movements starting to gain popularity in many European countries, and these are incompatible with Altanticism.
Another aspect is that Europe is no longer the primary concern for US because US sees China as their main competitor. I expect that US will simply leave Europe hanging because they’re going to be forced to allocate resources towards Asia.
I don’t think this is a problem. I think we would just end up with neo-atlanticism, which would be characterized not by a shared ideology so much as by total dominance of Europe by the US which would be made possible by the divide-and-conquer structure of various intra-European antagonisms. With Russia on the threshold, the material and ideological conditions for these antagonisms to prevent cohesion except where necessary to prop up a proxy like Poland would, in my estimation, be quite ripe. The only real solution to this from the European perspective would be a form of intra-European collaboration for survival, but I don’t think this could manifest within the current structure.
Another aspect is that Europe is no longer the primary concern for US because US sees China as their main competitor
Europe isn’t a primary concern, it’s a continental proxy.
I expect that US will simply leave Europe hanging because they’re going to be forced to allocate resources towards Asia.
They need Europeans to die in the war. The US cannot fight China with its own bodies.
If that’s the game they’re playing it’s obviously a very dangerous one as it’s likely that NATO and EU schemes will start to unravel as European economies collapse. There are a lot of latent antagonisms in Europe such as those between Poland and Germany, and as the pie starts shrinking we’ll see tensions and recriminations escalate. We’re already seeing right wing nationalist movements starting to gain popularity in many European countries, and these are incompatible with Altanticism.
Another aspect is that Europe is no longer the primary concern for US because US sees China as their main competitor. I expect that US will simply leave Europe hanging because they’re going to be forced to allocate resources towards Asia.
I don’t think this is a problem. I think we would just end up with neo-atlanticism, which would be characterized not by a shared ideology so much as by total dominance of Europe by the US which would be made possible by the divide-and-conquer structure of various intra-European antagonisms. With Russia on the threshold, the material and ideological conditions for these antagonisms to prevent cohesion except where necessary to prop up a proxy like Poland would, in my estimation, be quite ripe. The only real solution to this from the European perspective would be a form of intra-European collaboration for survival, but I don’t think this could manifest within the current structure.
Europe isn’t a primary concern, it’s a continental proxy.
They need Europeans to die in the war. The US cannot fight China with its own bodies.