You seem to underestimate the lengths the republicans will go to push their “culture war”. It is not an ambiguous “they”, it is the republican party paired with their various fringe alt right groups.

https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-deploys-new-texas-tactical-border-force

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-bill-ban-gender-affirming-care-transgender-adults/

Edit: Adding the tracking of the bill’s progress to show it is still a threat. https://legiscan.com/TX/bill/SB1029/2023