• assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Russia has already lost the war. Even if they take the entire country, they’ve lost.

    • They’ve turned the entire West against them, and they’re feeling the ramifications from resultant economic sanctions.

    • NATO has been revitalized, at a time where a lot of the West was beginning to doubt its necessity.

    • Sweden and Finland have decided to join NATO as a direct consequence of the invasion.

    • The political left and center in the West are decidedly anti Russian now. Except for the extreme far right, the right is anti Russian as well. They’ve left a negative impression that Zoomers and Millennials won’t forget easily.

    • Their military is seen as an international laughingstock. They can only make empty threats now, and their ability to project power is heavily diminished. Putin is no longer seen as a mastermind strategist.

    • You could even argue the government is as seen as weak with the Wagner coup and how far they got with little resistance.

    • Population collapse may be inevitable. COVID already took some of their working population. This war has taken even more of them, and they have a draft even. The working population may not be large enough to support the aging population nor the economy.

    • The draft and war in general led to a good number of intellectuals fleeing the country. Their best and brightest are gone.

    I think we’re going to look back and see this war as the beginning of the Putin regime’s collapse.