Nate Silver is again asking if the Democratic Party's interests would be best served by President Joe Biden dropping out of this year's presidential race.
They worked within the margins of error. He didn’t say Hillary would win. He said there was a about a 7 in 8 chance she would win. And when you look at the numbers by state and figure out how many votes made a difference in the electorial college numbers he was remarkably accurate. Don’t blame him for most of the country not knowing how statistics work. Blame people for not voting because they don’t understand statistics.
They worked within the margins of error. He didn’t say Hillary would win. He said there was a about a 7 in 8 chance she would win. And when you look at the numbers by state and figure out how many votes made a difference in the electorial college numbers he was remarkably accurate. Don’t blame him for most of the country not knowing how statistics work. Blame people for not voting because they don’t understand statistics.
Adding to this, 538 gave Trump a higher probability than most pundits, and were mocked (pre-election) for doing so