• 8 Posts
  • 149 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 29th, 2023

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  • It only seems compelling, there is no base rate of non-similar twins separated at birth. Is this 1 in 2 sets end up like this, every one, 1 in 100,000?

    The neuroscience is interesting, but it is not in any way predictive. It is all post-hoc rationalisations of what did happen.

    As I said above, I’m an engineer and look at this from a physical sciences point of view. There is no model (as far as I’m aware) that can predict what will happen except in very specific psychological experiments.


  • Yes, I am 100% on that.

    If A causes B, that is true for all observers. Otherwise you get into causeless actions.

    Imagine observer 1 (O1), sees one rock (A) crash into another (B) and it changes it’s direction of travel. O1 has on opinion on the sequence of events.

    How imagine observer 2, (O2) watching the same events from a different perspective.

    There is no situation or perspective O2 can take which would have B change direction before the collision with A.

    Therefore no matter their perspective both O1 and O2 agree on the sequence of events. Thus causality is fundamental.




  • That is all well and good.

    I’m an engineer, so I look at this from a physical sciences point of view. The main problem with the “no free will” argument is it provides no predictive power, there is no model that can say person X will do Y (instead of A, B, C or D) in situation Z.

    What is possible is giving probabilities of Y, A, B, C or D in experimental settings. But in the real world, there are too many variables interacting in a chaotic manner to even give reasonable probabilities; this is why we can only use population level statistics rather than individual level predictions.







  • Outside your comfort zone / different culture: The Last Ringbearer by Kirill Yeskov. It examines the events of The Lord of The Rings, from the perspective of Mordor and the orcs. Written by a Russian author. Super good, almost better than LotR.

    As a suggestion form me (a random on the internet) ultraprocessed people, the science of food that isn’t food.









  • You may have a specific deficiency, but your story does not constitute data.

    There have been many studies that have addressed this specific issue. Literally billions of dollars are wasted every year on these supplements. If you have a healthy diet, you are very unlikely to need supplementation.

    This is the availability bias, because your experience is normal for you, you unconsciously think your experience is more normal than it is.